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Gold to $10,000 on Chinese, not Western, debasement, says CrossBorder Capital's MD

14 calls: why liquidity is falling while central banks refuse to tighten, how CoreWeave's $19B of credit hangs on project milestones, and why voters passed all but one data-center ban

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Scuttlebutt
Nov 09, 2026
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Market Talk with George Noble · Nov 8, 2026 · 1h 13m · 61m saved

With Michael Howell, Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital · Jack Gamble, engineer who worked in nuclear power for 15 years

Gold to $10,000 on Chinese, not Western, debasement, says CrossBorder Capital's MD

Global liquidity, the pool of money and credit available to markets, peaked in late 2025 and has fallen through 2026. Michael Howell, managing director of CrossBorder Capital, told Market Talk with George Noble that the decline is not the work of central banks, which have refused to tighten.

Most investors blame falling liquidity on tight policy. Michael says the real economy is simply strong enough to soak up the money, leaving less for financial markets.

"Liquidity is tightening mainly because the real economies are so strong, and they're just absorbing liquidity... all money that's anywhere must be somewhere. So if it's in the real economy, it's not in the financial markets." — Michael Howell

Michael's firm tracks liquidity as a signal that leads markets by six to nine months. He was joined by Jack Gamble, an engineer who has followed the credit stress at AI cloud providers and the political fight over data centers.

The full episode is covered here so you can skip it. 73 minutes of audio, 12 minutes of reading.

Here are the 14 calls that matter.


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Key Takeaways

  • No election outcome fixes the funding problem for AI and data centers, George Noble says

  • Global liquidity peaked in late 2025 because the real economy is absorbing it, not because central banks tightened

  • Michael Howell sees $10,000 gold within 5 years, driven by Chinese money-printing

  • The Treasury is running "yield volatility control," not yield-curve control

  • CoreWeave's $19B of undrawn credit is tied to project milestones Jack Gamble expects it to miss

  • All but one of 45 or 46 local data-center bans passed in the midterms

  • Jack, a 15-year nuclear veteran, says Fermi's four reactors might be done by 2040 if the project does not bankrupt the company

1. No Election Fixes Liquidity

George Noble, who hosts the show, opened by saying the midterm elections could not change the problem facing the AI buildout.

George Noble says neither side's win could solve the funding squeeze on AI and data centers

"No election, regardless of the outcome, is going to solve the funding problems for the AI and the data centers. No election outcome is going to improve the liquidity picture." — George Noble

The post-election bounce he expected lasted "all of one session" before a sharp selloff. Investors are giving up their gains for 2026 and are unlikely to commit fresh money to defend prices.

"Folks are rapidly giving up their year, their performance, and therefore I think it's unlikely that folks are going to want to commit a lot more risk to defend the market. So I think the market's in a very bad place. People are on their back foot." — George Noble

2. Liquidity Peaked in 2025

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