Scuttlebutt

Scuttlebutt

Solar and storage made 70% of new US grid power in 2026, says SEIA's CEO

11 arguments: why most new solar goes into Trump-won states, why policy swings hurt more than the subsidy cuts, and why solar can't power the AI boom alone

Scuttlebutt's avatar
Scuttlebutt
Oct 08, 2026
∙ Paid

ESG Currents · Oct 7, 2026 · 25m · 15m saved

With Tim Pawlenty, President and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association

Solar and storage made 70% of new US grid power in 2026, says SEIA's CEO

Solar and storage supplied 70% of the new power added to the US grid so far in 2026, Tim Pawlenty said, and a similar share in 2025.

Solar is often described as a Democratic cause. Pawlenty, a Republican and former governor of Minnesota, said most new solar and storage capacity is being built in states that voted for President Trump, and that his pitch to conservatives now leads with cost and speed rather than climate.

"Who the heck is against clean?" — Tim Pawlenty

Tim Pawlenty, President and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association, on ESG Currents, signed Minnesota's 2007 renewable energy standard as governor, a target the state met seven years early, and took over the solar industry's main trade group in May 2026.

The full interview is covered here so you can skip it. 25 minutes of audio, 10 minutes of reading.

Here are the 11 arguments that matter.


This Scuttlebutt Summary is available in full to premium subscribers. If you're not one already, please consider subscribing to keep reading.


Key Takeaways

  • Solar and storage made up 70% of the new power added to the US grid so far in 2026

    • The share was similar in 2025 and "not too much lower" in 2024

  • Less than 1% of the solar panels used in the US now come from China

    • The US moved from 14th-largest panel maker in the world to third in five years

  • Solar is not a partisan industry, Pawlenty said: most new projects are in states that voted for Trump

  • The damage came from policy reversals, not from any one subsidy: the Inflation Reduction Act's incentives were largely repealed within about two years

  • Data center developers should promise not to raise local power prices, and use closed-loop water systems

  • Residential solar is shifting to leased systems enrolled in virtual power plants, after losing tax incentives

  • Solar and storage cannot meet the rise in US power demand alone, Pawlenty said, and the country will need nuclear and hydropower too

1. Four Numbers on US Solar

The host read four figures from SEIA's recent US Solar Market Insight report and asked Pawlenty to explain each one.

The first was 11.4 gigawatts of capacity added in the second quarter

Pawlenty said the report points to continued, substantial growth in solar and storage deployment.

Solar and storage are now most of what is added to the grid each year

"But in year-to-date, 2026, 70% of the new energy added to the grid, the new power added to the grid, is from solar in storage, a similar percentage in calendar year 2025, and not too much lower in 2024." — Tim Pawlenty

He said that matters because demand for power is rising fast, and added supply holds down prices. Without solar and storage there would be "a very big void on the grid", he said, because other sources cannot be built as quickly.

Most new projects are in Republican states

The host's third figure was 71% in states won by Trump. Pawlenty said the idea that solar is a blue-state industry is wrong.

"As you just mentioned, most of the new solar and storage deployments that are taking place in the country are in places, states that voted for President Trump." — Tim Pawlenty

He said recent polling by Tony Fabrizio and Kellyanne Conway, two of Trump's pollsters, found that a large majority of Republicans support solar and storage as part of the country's energy mix.

The panels are no longer made in China

The last figure was 75 gigawatts of operating US module manufacturing capacity. Pawlenty said SEIA supports the push for US manufacturing, which he said both the Trump and Biden administrations backed.

"Less than 1% of the solar panels being used in the United States come from China." — Tim Pawlenty

He said the US now has enough capacity to make every part of a solar system, including mounts, brackets, trackers, panels, and the cells and wafers inside them, though not yet enough to meet all demand.

"The US used to be the 14th largest manufacturer of solar panels in the world. And in five years, we've moved to third in the world." — Tim Pawlenty

2. The Pitch to Conservatives

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Scuttlebutt.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 The Golden Age LLC · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture