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60/40 portfolio
Kai Volatility founder on 60/40: "60/40 made 0% returns from 1900 to 1920"
9 arguments: why the Fed's hawkish turn was theater, how a Treasury crisis makes the Fed the buyer of last resort, and why money sent to the bottom is…
Nov 9
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Negative stock-bond correlation did not protect 60/40 in 1987 — Archive Capital CEO
11 arguments: a $7.5B credit fund now down 22–25%, the Fed's five-part "new monetary medicine," why high debt changes an AI bust, and the case for fewer…
Nov 1
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AlphaSimplex strategist on patience: "20 months made up most of the performance of trend"
9 lessons: why bonds stop hedging stocks when inflation leads, why a passive commodity allocation disappoints, and why investors in liquid trend funds…
Oct 18
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Dynamic Beta Investments CEO: Managed futures need a new name to go mainstream
12 takeaways: why 60/40 was a historical accident, how managed futures made money in all 3 big crises since 2000, and why "trend following" is a bad…
Oct 11
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AllianceBernstein portfolio manager: buffer ETFs work as a guard against investor bias
9 takeaways: why AB's buffer ETFs reset every 3 months with a ratchet, how the 15% conservative buffer stacks up against T-bills, and a premium income…
Sep 30
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"They can't get all the GDP": Damped Spring CIO on what AI companies promise
15 insights: why he is short stocks and at his maximum long in bonds, his "hamburger theory" of AI borrowing, and why he says betting on the Fed to kill…
Sep 30
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BlackRock portfolio manager: global yields rose 50bps, in step with growth forecasts
7 arguments: why 60/40 is not back, why 5% rates help pensions, where inflation could fall to, and why government pressure cannot pull bond yields down
Sep 27
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Damped Spring CIO on bonds: "nobody wants to own real Treasuries at 3% yield"
16 arguments: Why he says inflation only falls when asset prices do, what the Fed can and cannot do to 10-year yields, and why Japan is finally…
Sep 20
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Tom Nelson: a good diversifier should occasionally disappoint clients, and boring works | The Disciplined Investor
Franklin Templeton's head of asset allocation on why owning a lot of things is not diversification, plus Andrew Horowitz on Operation Twisted, the gold…
Aug 31
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Jared Woodard: why 5% on the 10-year is only a warning shot, 7% is the level that bites, and why the 40 in 60/40 is the broken half …
The Bank of America strategist on 40% losses in 20-plus-year Treasuries, fallen angels and emerging market debt, commodities in place of the 40, and why…
Aug 29
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