Top Traders Unplugged

Kai Volatility founder: a meaningful crisis will be allowed to happen before June 2027

12 calls: why Washington's plan is "print money, buy stocks," how a $300T equity market became too big to fail, and the 4 building blocks he says…

Nov 8 • Scuttlebutt

Negative stock-bond correlation did not protect 60/40 in 1987 — Archive Capital CEO

11 arguments: a $7.5B credit fund now down 22–25%, the Fed's five-part "new monetary medicine," why high debt changes an AI bust, and the case for fewer…

Nov 1 • Scuttlebutt

AMPHI Research CEO on hedge fund AI: "maybe over 90%. Everybody's using it."

11 arguments: why a 5% Treasury yield is normal, how thin dealer capital breeds dislocations, and why winter gas inventories could send prices parabolic

Oct 25 • Scuttlebutt

AlphaSimplex strategist on patience: "20 months made up most of the performance of trend"

9 lessons: why bonds stop hedging stocks when inflation leads, why a passive commodity allocation disappoints, and why investors in liquid trend funds…

Oct 18 • Scuttlebutt

Dynamic Beta Investments CEO: Managed futures need a new name to go mainstream

12 takeaways: why 60/40 was a historical accident, how managed futures made money in all 3 big crises since 2000, and why "trend following" is a bad…

Oct 11 • Scuttlebutt

45% of the S&P now has negative beta, says Kai Volatility Advisors founder

8 takeaways: why he says the AI boom is a capex sugar high, the coming "Treasury crisis," and the sovereign-wealth-fund plan he expects Washington to…

Oct 3 • Scuttlebutt

Switching on performance is investors' biggest cost, says Welton Investment's founder

15 principles: Paul Tudor Jones's lesson on exiting big trades, the four sources of trend-following returns, and why he says changing strategy for…

Oct 1 • Scuttlebutt

"LLM models are not deterministic": Goldman Sachs quant on AI-built portfolios

13 insights: why 45% of S&P 500 stocks now move against the index, why VIX-based switches add little to trend models, and how 21 AI agents vote on a…

Sep 26 • Scuttlebutt

ATS Trading Solutions researcher on markets: "the bar approximated 60 attendances"

17 insights: Why he says trend following's edge migrated to the 200-day horizon instead of vanishing, and what a crowded bar in Santa Fe tells traders…

Sep 20 • Scuttlebutt

Matt Klein: an AI productivity boom would push interest rates up, not down

15 takeaways: Why underlying US productivity growth has been zero for 18 months, where the AI capex money actually flows, and China's trade surplus…

Sep 11 • Scuttlebutt

Alan Dunne: the Fed's missing reaction function, how close the US now is to fiscal dominance, and the decade trend following just had | Top…

The first US purchase of yen since 1998, AQR pricing US stocks at 3.9% real while GMO forecasts minus 7.2%, and a bond-trend correlation that has…

Aug 30 • Scuttlebutt

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